I haveĀ been busy this week with work on my new Shot Probability model. Today too my free time is being taken up with creating some…
Tag: 2016
Ratings after Round 19
Posted in Ratings
As we enter the late stages of the regular season, certain matches start to lose their spice and become more or less foregone conclusions. Those…
Another week of footy down. Now, as we enter the last 5 weeks of the regular season, we have a new leader sitting on top…
Market odds this week are remarkably well calibrated with the FFSS model. Writing this on Thursday, before any team selection news, 6 of the 9…
Ratings After Round 17 Port are now into the FFSS top-8, will the AFL top-8 be next?
Posted in Ratings
For the first time since Round 4 there has been a change in which teams the FFSS model rates as the top 8 in the…
I have some big updates to the ExpScore and Goal-Kicking Accuracy maps planned for the next week or so. I hopefully launch this along with…
For the first time this season we are starting to see some structure and differentiation between the top-8 sides in the FFSS Ratings. The gap…
2016 Round 16 – Tips and Predictions
Posted in Tipping
Today’s article and the shortened week mean I haven’t had the time to write up a proper preview and possible value bets for this round.…
We have a new leader atop the FFSS Ratings Leaderboard after Round 15. The Adelaide Crows have overtaken Geelong as the current no.1 rated club…
Round 15 sees the last week of the bye period play out and I have no doubt that footy fans everywhere will be eager to…