Here’s what the FFSS model makes of the first week of the finals. This will probably be the last time I post predictions this year…
Tag: Results
A couple of big games have shaken up the 8 completely after the last round of the Home & Away season. Not only does the…
Here are the FFSS ratings following this round. Ratings changes are pretty static come this time of the year. We have learned so much about each…
Ratings After Round 21 Top-4 Set?
Posted in Ratings
Courtesy of last second Nic Natanui goal at Spotless Stadium on Saturday, there is a game between the top-4 on the ladder and 5th for…
Match Analysis Using Shot Quality A Review of the Melbourne v Hawthorn Game
Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, and Shot Quality
Last week I introduced a model which can be used to calculate the true quality of any scoring shot taken during a match. This basically quantifies…
Ratings after Round 19
Posted in Ratings
As we enter the late stages of the regular season, certain matches start to lose their spice and become more or less foregone conclusions. Those…
Another week of footy down. Now, as we enter the last 5 weeks of the regular season, we have a new leader sitting on top…
Ratings After Round 17 Port are now into the FFSS top-8, will the AFL top-8 be next?
Posted in Ratings
For the first time since Round 4 there has been a change in which teams the FFSS model rates as the top 8 in the…
For the first time this season we are starting to see some structure and differentiation between the top-8 sides in the FFSS Ratings. The gap…
Ratings changes in bye weeks don’t always tell the full story. The way in which the FFSS system rates teams means that ratings only have…