Round 23 will be long remembered for the “live ladder” fueled drama on Sunday evening which saw West Coast creep into the eight at the…
Tag: GKA
Who are the Best (and Worst) Kicks in the Comp? Looking at Goalkicking in 3 Different Ways
Posted in Analytics Landscape, ExpScore, Shot Quality, and xScore
For the fourth week in a row, a player has missed a potential match-winning shot with the last kick of the game. Isaac Smith relived…
Are St Kilda a Sleeping Giant? A Look at For and Against xScore Percentages
Posted in Analytics Landscape, ExpScore, Scoring Map, Shot Quality, Team Analysis, and xScore
I spend a fair bit of time here developing ratings to compare team quality beyond their simple win/loss record. But I’ll let you in on…
Why 2017 Results Are Flattering The Cats A re-introduction to ShotPlots
Posted in Analytics Landscape, ExpScore, Scoring Map, Shot Quality, and xScore
You may have noticed the website has been a bit quiet lately. Along with the usual “life commitments” spiel, the main reason for this lack…
Grand Final Preview (Part 1) – Two Very Different Defences
Posted in Analytics Landscape, ExpScore, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, and Shot Quality
In the lead-up to Saturday’s grand final I’ll be posting a new article each day previewing the big match. These articles will use some of the…
The Shots that Made the 2016 Coleman Medal Kennedy is Freakishly Accurate, Buddy is Just a Freak
Posted in ExpScore, Scoring Map, and Shot Quality
The Coleman Medal, for most goals in the H&A season, was won this week by West Coast’s Josh Kennedy for the second year running. His 80…
Match Analysis Using Shot Quality A Review of the Melbourne v Hawthorn Game
Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, and Shot Quality
Last week I introduced a model which can be used to calculate the true quality of any scoring shot taken during a match. This basically quantifies…
A Model to Predict and Rate Shots by Quality Formalising and Parametrising Shot Probability
Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, and Trends and Historic Analysis
A little over a month ago I published some empirical Goal Kicking Accuracy maps that looked at the likelihood of kicking a goal from each…
The Goal-Kicking Accuracy Fallacy Every Club in the AFL Kicks at Roughly the Same Level
Posted in ExpScore, and Team Metrics
Last week I posted an article visualising the competition average Goal-Kicking Accuracy (GKA) for shots from every position on the ground. If you haven’t read that…
Goal Kicking Accuracy Maps – ExpScore What's a Shot Worth?
Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, and Scoring Map
What this early article refers to as “ExpScore” is now usually referred to as”xScore”. A key component of my FFSS ratings, which are used to…