Courtesy of last second Nic Natanui goal at Spotless Stadium on Saturday, there is a game between the top-4 on the ladder and 5th for…
Ratings After Round 21 Top-4 Set?
Posted in Ratings
Statistical Analysis of What's What in the AFL.
Posted in Ratings
Courtesy of last second Nic Natanui goal at Spotless Stadium on Saturday, there is a game between the top-4 on the ladder and 5th for…
Regular followers of Figuring Footy will have noticed that I haven’t written any in depth match preview/prediction articles in the last few weeks. The reason…
I haveĀ been busy this week with work on my new Shot Probability model. Today too my free time is being taken up with creating some…
Another week of footy down. Now, as we enter the last 5 weeks of the regular season, we have a new leader sitting on top…
Market odds this week are remarkably well calibrated with the FFSS model. Writing this on Thursday, before any team selection news, 6 of the 9…
Posted in Ratings
For the first time since Round 4 there has been a change in which teams the FFSS model rates as the top 8 in the…
I have some big updates to the ExpScore and Goal-Kicking Accuracy maps planned for the next week or so. I hopefully launch this along with…
For the first time this season we are starting to see some structure and differentiation between the top-8 sides in the FFSS Ratings. The gap…
Posted in Tipping
Today’s article and the shortened week mean I haven’t had the time to write up a proper preview and possible value bets for this round.…
We have a new leader atop the FFSS Ratings Leaderboard after Round 15. The Adelaide Crows have overtaken Geelong as the current no.1 rated club…